KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningNo trading activity
Data as of Sep 9, 2026, 2:05 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Above 3850 0%Leader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
31 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
7.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 2 minutes ago
Aug 13, 26, 2:26 AM UTCJun 2, 27, 5:00 AM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiWill the AI-based carbon emissions tracking startup reach 100 paying business customers by December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsKalshi generally available to UK customers by when?
Manifold Markets$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PolymarketRules
If Samsara Inc. reports the named outcome large customers with over $100k arr in fiscal 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Fiscal.ai
- This market refers to the annual figure reported in Samsara Inc.'s full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Open markets
Business & CorporatePOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.4pt96%
- $25M+2.0pt94%
- $50M+5.0pt90%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $555.4K
- 24h Vol
- $499.3K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+13.0pt68.6%
- 65-89+5.0pt30.4%
- 90-114-3.5pt1%
+7 more outcomes
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA78.2%
- Apple+0.1pt13.9%
- Alphabet6.9%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $6.9M
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-199-1.0pt17.1%
- 200-219-1.0pt16.2%
- 160-179+2.0pt15.2%
+23 more outcomes
KALSHIIllinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026
- Above 87.5 TWh97%
- Above 90.0 TWh+1.0pt96%
- Above 92.5 TWh+3.0pt95%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $132.2K
KALSHIWashington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Above 80,000 jobs98%
- Above 81,000 jobs95%
- Above 82,000 jobs+3.0pt92%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $220.4K
- Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- California FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026
- Elon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- 3rd Largest Company end of September?
- Largest Company end of September?
- Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Samsara customers over $100k ARR in fiscal 2027?
- Kalshi prices Above 3850 at 0% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Samsara customers over $100k ARR in fiscal 2027 resolve?
- Samsara customers over $100k ARR in fiscal 2027 is scheduled to resolve on June 2, 2027.
- How is Samsara customers over $100k ARR in fiscal 2027 settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Samsara Inc. reports the named outcome large customers with over $100k arr in fiscal 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.