KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 7,720 or above (48%)
Resolved: Oct 20, 2026, 4:02 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
7,720 or above
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 20, 2026, 3:45 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
7,715 or above89%
7,705 or above95%
7,730 or above14%
7,745 or above1%
7,760 or above1%
7,725 or above13%
7,750 or above1%
7,740 or above1%
7,710 or above88%
7,755 or above1%
7,720 or above48%
7,735 or above3%
7,700 or above97%
7,765 or above17%
7,690 or above95%
7,695 or above92%
7,770 or above12%
7,680 or above98%
7,670 or above99%
7,685 or above88%
7,675 or above99%
7,665 or above99%
7,655 or above99%
7,660 or above99%
7,650 or above99%
7,640 or above99%
7,645 or above99%
7,790 or above0%
7,795 or above0%
7,500 or above0%
7,505 or above0%
7,510 or above0%
7,515 or above0%
7,520 or above0%
7,525 or above0%
7,530 or above0%
7,535 or above0%
7,540 or above0%
7,545 or above0%
7,550 or above0%
7,555 or above0%
7,560 or above0%
7,565 or above0%
7,570 or above0%
7,575 or above0%
7,580 or above0%
7,585 or above0%
7,590 or above0%
7,595 or above0%
7,600 or above0%
7,605 or above0%
7,610 or above0%
7,615 or above0%
7,620 or above0%
7,625 or above0%
7,630 or above0%
7,635 or above0%
7,775 or above8%
7,780 or above6%
7,785 or above4%
7,680 or aboveLost
7,665 or aboveLost
7,655 or aboveLost
7,650 or aboveLost
7,640 or aboveLost
7,645 or aboveLost
7,675 or aboveLost
7,660 or aboveLost
7,700 or aboveLost
7,670 or aboveLost
7,690 or aboveLost
7,705 or aboveLost
7,695 or aboveLost
7,710 or aboveLost
7,685 or aboveLost
7,715 or aboveLost
7,720 or aboveWon
7,730 or aboveLost
7,725 or aboveLost
7,735 or aboveLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If the S&P 500 index value on Oct 20, 2026 at 12pm EDT is above 7499.9999, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:For example, Google Finance
- The market will close on October 20, 2026.
- The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after October 20, 2026.
- Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets.
- See the rules for more information.
- If the S&P 500 index value on Oct 20, 2026 at 12pm EDT is above 7504.9999, then the market resolves to Yes.