KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No (98%)
Resolved: Sep 16, 2026, 11:01 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 16, 2026, 7:50 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
No 98%
Market quality
35 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$12.3K
Liquidity
$5.2K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
- / 3.0%
Market data
Updated 4 days ago
StaleSep 16, 26, 12:00 AM UTCSep 16, 26, 8:00 PM UTC
Probability Timeline
Yes2%
No98%
98%
2%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the end-of-day price of the S&P 500 on September 16, 2026 is above 7586.04, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:For example, Google Finance
- The target value is the end-of-day/closing price of the prior week's close.
Open markets
Equities
LIMITLESSEQT Energy Company (EQT) Up or Down - Daily
- Yes50%
- No50%
- Total Vol
- $195.7K
- 24h Vol
- $187.4K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- $2.0–$2.25T+0.3pt25%
- $2.25–$2.5T-5.0pt19.8%
- $1.75–$2.0T-3.0pt16.7%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $865.2K
- 24h Vol
- $59.5K
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.25T+1.3pt100%
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
+10 more outcomes
LIMITLESSS&P 500 ETF (SPY) Up or Down - Daily
- Yes69.5%
- No30.5%
- Total Vol
- $49.3K
- 24h Vol
- $49K
KALSHIS&P close price end of 2026?
- 8,000 to 8,199.99+2.0pt17.7%
- 7,800 to 7,999.99-1.0pt15.9%
- 7,600 to 7,799.9913.3%
+24 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $6.9M
LIMITLESSOccidental Petroleum (OXY) Up or Down - Daily
- Yes50%
- No50%
- Total Vol
- $13.4K
- 24h Vol
- $12.1K
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- What will Dominos say during their next earnings call?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)
- Nasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
- STRC hits $100 by…
- How high will the S&P get this year?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Largest Company end of December 2026?
- OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
- Will ByteDance's valuation hit __ by December 31?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for S&P 500 Daily Up/Down?
- Kalshi prices No at 98% as of September 16, 2026.
- When does S&P 500 Daily Up/Down resolve?
- S&P 500 Daily Up/Down is scheduled to resolve on September 16, 2026.
- How is S&P 500 Daily Up/Down settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the end-of-day price of the S&P 500 on September 16, 2026 is above 7586.04, then the market resolves to Yes.