KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 88° to 89° (99%)
Resolved: Sep 13, 2026, 12:09 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
88° to 89°
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
27%
SurpriseData quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 13, 2026, 9:48 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
86° to 87°1%
88° to 89°99%
84° to 85°18%
83° or below4%
90° to 91°4%
92° or above1%
88° to 89°Won
86° to 87°Lost
84° to 85°Lost
83° or belowLost
90° to 91°Lost
92° or aboveLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If the maximum temperature recorded at Chicago (CLIMDW) for Sep 12, 2026, is less than 84° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The Weather Company
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company.
- Reading weather data Preliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value.
- Use caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings.
- If it is determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange that there is a material error in the initial non-preliminary publication, Expiration may be held until the publication of a non-materially-erroneous data revision or until the Expiration Date, whichever comes first.