Target Price: $4,042.70
KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 28, 2026, 4:59 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
No 58%
No 58%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$22.4K
Open interest
$31.1K
High open interestBid / Ask
41.0% / 42.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated yesterday
StaleOct 28, 26, 5:00 PM UTCOct 28, 26, 5:15 PM UTC
Trends
No58%
Yes42%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Texas gas prices in Oct 2026
KalshiWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?
PolymarketAlaska diesel prices in Oct 2026
KalshiGas prices in the US in Oct 2026?
KalshiUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
PolymarketWho wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?
PolymarketRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:Pyth - Gold
- The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM. If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.
Rules for each outcome
- No
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- Yes
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.