KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Before Jul 1, 2027 · —
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Stored price
Before Jul 1, 2027 15.5%Leader of 5 outcomes
Before Jul 1, 2027 15.5%Market quality
48 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$28.1K
Open interest
$23.1K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
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Before Jul 1, 2027Spread
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Market data
Updated 14 minutes ago
Nov 2, 26, 10:30 PM UTCDec 1, 26, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Before Jul 1, 2027
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro return to Brazil by the end of 2026?
FutuurFlávio Bolsonaro arrested before 2027?
PolymarketWill Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?
PolymarketWhen will Trump and Flávio Bolsonaro meet?
KalshiWill the US grant Flávio Bolsonaro political asylum in 2026?
PolymarketWhen will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil?
Manifold MarketsRules
If, after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027, Flávio Bolsonaro visits Brazil by physically travelling to and being present within its geographic boundaries, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:official government sources of Brazilofficial social media accounts of Flávio Bolsonaro or their official representativeslocal news outlets with verifiable mastheads in Brazilthe Associated PressReutersThe New York TimesThe Washington PostBloomberg NewsThe Wall Street JournalCNNBBCThe GuardianPoliticoAxios
- The following do NOT constitute a visit: Flying over the area without landing Layovers during which the person remains in an airplane Virtual or remote appearances Presence in international waters adjacent to the area Presence solely within embassy or consulate grounds Plans, announcements, or scheduling of future visits that do not occur during the applicable time period For the avoidance of doubt, a visit occurs only when the person exits an aircraft, vehicle, vessel, or train within the area, or otherwise physically enters the area not aboard one. Remaining aboard, including during flyovers, drive-throughs, and non-exit refueling stops, does not constitute a visit. Exiting within the area constitutes a visit regardless of duration or method of exit.
Rules for each outcome
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If, after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027, Flávio Bolsonaro visits Brazil by physically travelling to and being present within its geographic boundaries, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Apr 1, 2027
- If, after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2027, Flávio Bolsonaro visits Brazil by physically travelling to and being present within its geographic boundaries, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Feb 1, 2027
- If, after Issuance and before Feb 1, 2027, Flávio Bolsonaro visits Brazil by physically travelling to and being present within its geographic boundaries, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If, after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, Flávio Bolsonaro visits Brazil by physically travelling to and being present within its geographic boundaries, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Dec 1, 2026
- If, after Issuance and before Dec 1, 2026, Flávio Bolsonaro visits Brazil by physically travelling to and being present within its geographic boundaries, then the market resolves to Yes.