KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeCurrent implied probabilityYes 31%
Market quality
40 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$3
Low liquidityBid / Ask
30.0% / 31.0%
Spread
3.3%
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Jan 30, 26, 3:00 PMJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
Selected outcome
Yes31%
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If E-Verify has been expanded to be required for more workers before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- To satisfy the Payout Criterion, the federal government must, through executive action or because of a bill that has become law, mandate that an employer who is not a governmental entity, federal contractor, or vendor use E-Verify to verify the immigration status of at least one employee who is not a federal employee or a graduate who is eligible for Optional Practical Training authorization granted by U.S.
- Citizenship and Immigration Services.
- This may include a requirement that the employer use E-Verify or be subject to some penalty.