KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityExactly 4.3% 18%Leader of 23 outcomes
Market quality
53 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$27.4
Liquidity
$3.4K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
6.0% / 7.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 14 minutes ago
Dec 15, 25, 3:00 PMSep 4, 26, 12:29 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Exactly 4.6%7%
Volume trend
$27Jul 611d of dataJul 28
Related Markets
Unemployment rate in Jul 2026?
$144.4Exactly 4.3%: 41%KALSHI
KALSHIUnemployment rate in Nov 2026?
$0Exactly 3.3%: 3%KALSHI
KALSHIUnemployment rate in Oct 2026?
$0Exactly 3.3%: 0%KALSHI
KALSHI
US economic state at the end of 2026?
$2.2KSoft Landing: 58%
POLYMARKET
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UK Annual GDP Growth 2026
$564.31-2%: 50%POLYMARKET
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What will happen in 2026 related to AI?
$540.8Sam Altman will continuously be CEO of OpenAI until the end of the year.: 95.4%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActive in these topics
Rules
If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.3% in Aug 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.4% in Aug 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.5% in Aug 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.6% in Aug 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.7% in Aug 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.8% in Aug 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.