KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 10, 2026, 3:20 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
XRP 51.7%Leader of 5 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
XRP 51.7%Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$197.9
Open interest
$11.6
Low open interestSpread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleOct 10, 26, 3:15 PM UTCOct 10, 26, 3:30 PM UTC
XRP51.7%
ETH22%
HYPE9.3%
SOL9.3%
BTC7.6%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which cryptocurrencies will the Treasury purchase during Trump's term?
KalshiWhich of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?
KalshiETH above 4K when Bitcoin goes above 100K?
MyriadETH at three digits when Bitcoin goes below 50K?
MyriadBy 2030 will the most-used cryptocurrency have none of the highly criticised flaws of those popular in 2024?
Manifold MarketsWill any cryptocurrency (other than Bitcoin) surpass the market cap of Ethereum in 2026?
FutuurRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:CF Benchmarks
- The return for each cryptocurrency in the specified set is calculated independently over the given time period using the formula: Return = (Ending Price − Starting Price) / Starting Price × 100. The Starting Price and Ending Price are defined as the time-weighted average of the Spot Rate values published by CFBenchmarks during the 60-second intervals immediately preceding the start and end of the time period, respectively. Final returns are calculated on an identical basis for every cryptocurrency in the set and rounded to three decimal places (as a percentage). If two or more cryptocurrencies report an identical return (rounded to three decimal places) such that they are tied for the highest position, each tied cryptocurrency's Contract will resolve to "Yes" with a value equal to $1 divided by the number of cryptocurrencies tied for the highest position, rounded down to the nearest cent, and each remaining (non-tied) cryptocurrency's Contract will resolve to "No."
Rules for each outcome
- XRP
- If Ripple has the highest return out of BTC (Bitcoin), ETH (Ethereum), SOL (Solana), XRP (Ripple), and HYPE (Hyperliquid) in from Oct 10 - 11:15AM EDT to 11:30AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- ETH
- If Ethereum has the highest return out of BTC (Bitcoin), ETH (Ethereum), SOL (Solana), XRP (Ripple), and HYPE (Hyperliquid) in from Oct 10 - 11:15AM EDT to 11:30AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- HYPE
- If Hyperliquid has the highest return out of BTC (Bitcoin), ETH (Ethereum), SOL (Solana), XRP (Ripple), and HYPE (Hyperliquid) in from Oct 10 - 11:15AM EDT to 11:30AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- SOL
- If Solana has the highest return out of BTC (Bitcoin), ETH (Ethereum), SOL (Solana), XRP (Ripple), and HYPE (Hyperliquid) in from Oct 10 - 11:15AM EDT to 11:30AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- BTC
- If Bitcoin has the highest return out of BTC (Bitcoin), ETH (Ethereum), SOL (Solana), XRP (Ripple), and HYPE (Hyperliquid) in from Oct 10 - 11:15AM EDT to 11:30AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
