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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Inflation
  3. CPI core in July
CPI core in July

CPI core in July

InflationMonthlyEconomy1mo
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Above 0.0%
Above 0.0% 93%
Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality

24 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0

Liquidity

$94.6

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

60.0% / 99.0%

Spread

65.0%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 5 minutes ago

May 12, 26, 4:00 PMAug 12, 26, 12:25 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice

Selected outcome

Above 0.0%93%

Rules

If the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy for July 2026, as published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, increases by above 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Please note that the value of the Underlying is the single-decimal value reported by the BLS.
  • In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.
  • If the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy for July 2026, as published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, increases by above 0.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy for July 2026, as published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, increases by above 0.2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy for July 2026, as published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, increases by above 0.3%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Macro-Sensitive Assets

BitcoinBTC$59,388.92-2.56%EthereumETH$1,559.03-3.37%SolanaSOL$66.19-2.17%

Related Markets

CPI core in June

CPI core in June

$3.4
Above 0.1%: 77%KalshiKALSHI
CPI core in August

CPI core in August

$0
Above 0.1%: 85%KalshiKALSHI
CPI core in September

CPI core in September

$0
Above 0.0%: 96%KalshiKALSHI
Manifold Markets

Did US Real Median Household Income Increase in 2023?

$50
Yes: 76.8%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
June Inflation US - Monthly

June Inflation US - Monthly

$2.3K
≤0.1%: 95%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - June 2026

University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - June 2026

$875.7
49.0–51.9: 61%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Active in these topics

BNBBNB$555.05-1.42%XRPXRP$1.03-3.96%DogecoinDOGE$0.0735-2.74%HyperliquidHYPE$63.14+0.97%ZcashZEC$399.59-2.76%ChainlinkLINK$7.18-2.86%

Related News

Bitcoin triggers $1.48B liquidation wave after PCE inflation fuels rate fearsCrypto NewsInflation gauge hits 3-year high as Polymarket pegs July Fed hold at 77.5%Blockchain.NewsHot PCE inflation fuels rate-hike talk as Polymarket puts Starmer exit at 89.5%Blockchain.NewsPCE inflation update keeps Fed path in focus as Polymarket pegs 0 cuts at 80%Blockchain.NewsCathie Wood predicts inflation collapse as Fed hike fears growCrypto NewsInflation warning revives hike talk as Polymarket keeps 2026 at 82% zero cutsBlockchain.News

Rules

If the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy for July 2026, as published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, increases by above 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Please note that the value of the Underlying is the single-decimal value reported by the BLS.
  • In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.
  • If the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy for July 2026, as published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, increases by above 0.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy for July 2026, as published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, increases by above 0.2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy for July 2026, as published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, increases by above 0.3%, then the market resolves to Yes.