PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: ≤0.1% (100%)
Unverified resolution data
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 14, 2026, 2:30 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current implied probability≤0.1% 100%+1.8ptLeader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$13K
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Tight spread7d Change
+1.7 pts
Market data
Updated 14 days ago
StaleJun 10, 26, 3:41 PMJul 15, 26, 3:59 AM
Probability Timeline
0.8%0%
0.2%1%
0.6%0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· ≤0.1%
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketThis pageBest overall | Low | 100% | — | $13K | $0 | 14 days ago | |
 Futuur65% match · auto | Low | 81% | — | $26.9 | $0 | 14 days ago | Open → |
Also available on Futuur
US inflation rate in June (month-over-month CPI)
Closed
Resolved
Less than 0.2% (81%)
75%
16.7%
8.3%
11 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$2.9K
24h Vol$26.9
FUTUURRules
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
- This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in June 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
- The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
- Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$13.0kJul 214d of dataJul 15
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This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
- This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in June 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
- The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
- Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.