PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability≥0.1% 70%+4.0%Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
100 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$18.1K
Liquidity
$58.6K
High liquidityBid / Ask
69.0% / 71.0%
Spread
2.9%
Tight spread7d Change
+44.5%
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Jul 14, 26, 5:41 PMAug 12, 26, 3:59 AM
Trends
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
≥0.1%70%
Volume trend
$18.1kJul 149d of dataJul 22
Macro-Sensitive Assets
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This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
- This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
- The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
- Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.