KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 94 83%Market line of 7 lines
Above 94 83%Market quality
34 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$2.1
Open interest
$2.1
Low open interestSpread
6.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Oct 1, 26, 4:00 AM UTCNov 8, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the Carbon Arc Costco Foot Traffic (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 94, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Carbon Arc
- For purposes of this market, determination will resolve on finalized Carbon Arc values recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 7th calendar day after the end of the month covered by this market. For example, finalized Carbon Arc values for August will be recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on September 7th. The index measures year-over-year change, where 100 means Costco Foot Traffic was equal to the same month last year. Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% more visits than year prior, 97 = 3% fewer visits than year prior. The index is measured by Carbon Arc mobile location data across 200M+ devices, matched to the same calendar days of the prior year and normalized for seasonality, weather, and holidays. The panel updates daily as new data arrives.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 90
- If the Carbon Arc Costco Foot Traffic (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 90, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 94
- If the Carbon Arc Costco Foot Traffic (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 94, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 102
- If the Carbon Arc Costco Foot Traffic (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 102, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 95
- If the Carbon Arc Costco Foot Traffic (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 95, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 96
- If the Carbon Arc Costco Foot Traffic (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 96, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 97
- If the Carbon Arc Costco Foot Traffic (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 97, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 98
- If the Carbon Arc Costco Foot Traffic (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 98, then the market resolves to Yes.