KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityAlibaba 50.5%Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
68 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$4.5K
Liquidity
$3.5K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
3.0% / 4.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 20 minutes ago
Jul 27, 26, 7:09 PMAug 10, 26, 2:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Z.ai3%
Volume trend
$4.5kJul 272d of dataJul 28
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If Moonshot is the Highest Ranked Chinese AI Company model on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) on Aug 10, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Qualifying Chinese AI companies are defined as a company whose global or primary operational headquarters is located in mainland China.
- Tied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them.
- If multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.