KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityAlibaba 68.8%Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
67 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$5.3K
Liquidity
$4.9K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
1.0% / 2.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 18 minutes ago
Jul 27, 26, 7:09 PMAug 3, 26, 2:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
MiniMax1%
Volume trend
$5.3kJul 272d of dataJul 28
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If Moonshot is the Highest Ranked Chinese AI Company model on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) on Aug 3, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Qualifying Chinese AI companies are defined as a company whose global or primary operational headquarters is located in mainland China.
- Tied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them.
- If multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
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