KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Above 100 (99%)
Resolved: Sep 8, 2026, 1:36 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 8, 2026, 8:15 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
Above 12550%
Above 11099%
Above 1350%
Above 13061%
Above 10599%
Above 100Won
Above 105Lost
Above 110Lost
Above 115Lost
Above 120Lost
Above 130Lost
Above 125Lost
Above 140Lost
Above 135Lost
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KalshiRules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If the Carbon Arc Instacart App Downloads (August 2026) for August 2026 is the named outcome , then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Carbon Arc
- For purposes of this market, determination will resolve on the first value reported by Carbon Arc.
- Corrections or revisions made after the market has been settled will not affect the outcome.
- The index measures year-over-year, where 100 means Instacart App Downloads was equal to the same month last year.
- Values the named outcome indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% growth, 97 = 3% decline from year prior.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company.