Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?
Politics
KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: Pam Bondi (99%)
Resolved: Apr 2, 2026, 6:25 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probabilityPam Bondi 81.2%+85.0ptLeader of 24 outcomes
Market quality
2 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
-
Market data
Updated 119 days ago
StaleMar 10, 26, 2:00 PMJan 20, 29, 3:00 PM
Trends
81.2%
0.8%
0.8%
0.8%
0.8%
0.8%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Pam Bondi
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall80% match · verified | Low | 100% | — | $0 | $0 | 118 days ago | Open → |
| KalshiThis page | Low | 99% | — | $0 | $0 | 119 days ago |
Also available on Polymarket
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
Closed
Resolved
Pam Bondi (100%)
100%
0%
0%
+29 more outcomes
15 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$0
24h Vol$0
POLYMARKETRules
If Pam Bondi is the first member of the Cabinet of Donald Trump to leave or announce they will leave (such as by quitting, being fired, or being impeached) after Mar 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If two persons announce they intend to leave at the same time, then the one who leaves first will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No. If multiple persons both announce they intend to leave and leave at the same time as other members, then the one whose last name is alphabetically first will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No. A leave of absence does not constitute leaving the position.
- For purposes of this Contract, the Cabinet includes the heads of the 15 government agencies in the Cabinet as of Issuance, as well the Administrator of the EPA, the President’s Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP. Acting roles are not included. Leaving office as a result of death is not encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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If Pam Bondi is the first member of the Cabinet of Donald Trump to leave or announce they will leave (such as by quitting, being fired, or being impeached) after Mar 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If two persons announce they intend to leave at the same time, then the one who leaves first will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No. If multiple persons both announce they intend to leave and leave at the same time as other members, then the one whose last name is alphabetically first will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No. A leave of absence does not constitute leaving the position.
- For purposes of this Contract, the Cabinet includes the heads of the 15 government agencies in the Cabinet as of Issuance, as well the Administrator of the EPA, the President’s Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP. Acting roles are not included. Leaving office as a result of death is not encompassed by the Payout Criterion.