KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probability40.8 to 41.0 33.3%+5.0ptLeader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
79 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$39.5K
Liquidity
$72.5K
High liquidityBid / Ask
2.0% / 3.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Jul 24, 26, 3:00 PMJul 31, 26, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Above 41.93%
Compare venues· 40.8 to 41.0
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume
Also available on Polymarket
Trump approval rating on July 31?
0.5 pts3d
-0.5pt34.9%
-11.5pt30.3%
-8.0pt12.8%
+3 more outcomes
67 • Medium qualityTight spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$1.9K
24h Vol$1.7K
POLYMARKET
Also available on PredictIt
Trump's DDHQ job approval rating on July 31?
3d
50%
0%
0%
+6 more outcomes
Retail prediction exchange
PREDICTITRules
If the President's approval rating is below 40.2% at 11:00 AM ET on July 31, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market will determine at 11:00 AM ET on July 31, 2026.
- If the President's approval rating is between 40.2 and 40.4% at 11:00 AM ET on July 31, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President's approval rating is between 40.5 and 40.7% at 11:00 AM ET on July 31, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President's approval rating is between 40.8 and 41.0% at 11:00 AM ET on July 31, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President's approval rating is between 41.1 and 41.3% at 11:00 AM ET on July 31, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$39.5kJul 245d of dataJul 28
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If the President's approval rating is below 40.2% at 11:00 AM ET on July 31, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market will determine at 11:00 AM ET on July 31, 2026.
- If the President's approval rating is between 40.2 and 40.4% at 11:00 AM ET on July 31, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President's approval rating is between 40.5 and 40.7% at 11:00 AM ET on July 31, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President's approval rating is between 40.8 and 41.0% at 11:00 AM ET on July 31, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President's approval rating is between 41.1 and 41.3% at 11:00 AM ET on July 31, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.