PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability39.0–39.4 34.2%+1.0ptLeader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
66 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.7K
Liquidity
$9.7K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
37.0% / 38.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Jul 24, 26, 11:05 PMJul 31, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
39.0–39.438%
Compare venues· 39.0–39.4
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume
Also available on Kalshi
Trump's approval rating on Jul 31, 2026?
2.0 pts3d
+6.0pt33.3%
+9.0pt23.4%
-8.0pt18%
+5 more outcomes
77 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$112.3K
24h Vol$38.7K
KALSHI
Also available on PredictIt
Trump's DDHQ job approval rating on July 31?
3d
50%
0%
0%
+6 more outcomes
Retail prediction exchange
PREDICTITRules
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on July 31, 2026.
- Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
- This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date.
- Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
- If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
- The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.).
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$1.7kJul 254d of dataJul 28
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This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on July 31, 2026.
- Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
- This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date.
- Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
- If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
- The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.).