KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: 40.2 to 40.4 (99%)
Resolved: Jul 3, 2026, 4:10 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
40.2 to 40.4
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
23%
SurpriseCurrent implied probability40.2 to 40.4 91.7%+69.0ptLeader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
27 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$47.1K
Liquidity
$877.7
Low liquidityBid / Ask
- / 100.0%
Market data
Updated 24 days ago
StaleJun 26, 26, 3:00 PMJul 3, 26, 3:00 PM
Probability Timeline
40.2 to 40.499%
Below 39.62%
40.5 to 40.763%
39.9 to 40.14%
40.8 to 41.03%
39.6 to 39.81%
41.1 to 41.31%
Above 41.31%
91.7%
0.9%
2.8%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· 40.2 to 40.4
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiThis pageBest overall | Low | 99% | — | $47.1K | $877.7 | 24 days ago | |
 PredictIt78% match · auto | — | 50% | — | — | — | 24 days ago | Open → |
Also available on PredictIt
Trump's DDHQ job approval rating on July 3?
Closed
50%
30%
15%
+6 more outcomes
Retail prediction exchange
PREDICTITRules
If the President's approval rating is below 39.6% at 11:00 AM ET on July 03, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market will determine at 11:00 AM ET on July 03, 2026.
- If the President's approval rating is between 39.6 and 39.8% at 11:00 AM ET on July 03, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President's approval rating is between 39.9 and 40.1% at 11:00 AM ET on July 03, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President's approval rating is between 40.2 and 40.4% at 11:00 AM ET on July 03, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President's approval rating is between 40.5 and 40.7% at 11:00 AM ET on July 03, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$47.1kJul 22d of dataJul 3
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If the President's approval rating is below 39.6% at 11:00 AM ET on July 03, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market will determine at 11:00 AM ET on July 03, 2026.
- If the President's approval rating is between 39.6 and 39.8% at 11:00 AM ET on July 03, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President's approval rating is between 39.9 and 40.1% at 11:00 AM ET on July 03, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President's approval rating is between 40.2 and 40.4% at 11:00 AM ET on July 03, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President's approval rating is between 40.5 and 40.7% at 11:00 AM ET on July 03, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.