KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Above 4.150 (25%)
Resolved: Sep 7, 2026, 1:11 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 7, 2026, 7:50 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
Above 4.12499%
Above 4.12682%
Above 4.12299%
Above 4.14480%
Above 4.14078%
Above 4.14298%
Above 4.13457%
Above 4.12098%
Above 4.13284%
Above 4.15034%
Above 4.14685%
Above 4.13882%
Above 3.96099%
Above 4.14866%
Above 4.1604%
Above 4.144Lost
Above 4.140Lost
Above 3.900Lost
Above 4.142Lost
Above 3.920Lost
Above 4.100Lost
Above 4.128Lost
Above 4.136Lost
Above 4.124Lost
Above 4.134Lost
Above 4.126Lost
Above 4.120Lost
Above 4.080Lost
Above 4.000Lost
Above 4.020Lost
Above 4.130Lost
Above 4.040Lost
Above 4.060Lost
Above 4.122Lost
Above 4.138Lost
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MyriadRules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $3.900 on Sep 7, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:AAA
- If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $3.920 on Sep 7, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $3.940 on Sep 7, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $3.960 on Sep 7, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $3.980 on Sep 7, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $4.000 on Sep 7, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.