KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Above 5.9650 (79%)
Resolved: Sep 12, 2026, 11:30 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Above 5.9650
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
0%
SurpriseData quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 12, 2026, 9:20 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
Above 5.96500%
Above 5.93000%
Above 5.94500%
Above 5.890099%
Above 5.93500%
Above 5.94000%
Above 5.90000%
Above 5.885099%
Above 5.89500%
Above 5.90500%
Above 5.96009%
Above 5.91000%
Above 5.91500%
Above 5.92000%
Above 5.92500%
Above 5.950099%
Above 5.955020%
Above 6.00505%
Above 6.01006%
Above 6.01506%
Above 5.9300Lost
Above 5.9450Lost
Above 5.8900Lost
Above 5.9350Lost
Above 5.9400Lost
Above 5.9000Lost
Above 5.8850Lost
Above 5.8950Lost
Above 5.9050Lost
Above 5.9100Lost
Above 5.9150Lost
Above 5.9200Lost
Above 5.9250Lost
Above 5.9500Lost
Above 5.9550Lost
Above 5.9600Lost
Above 5.9750Lost
Above 5.9700Lost
Above 5.9800Lost
Above 5.9650Won
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If average regular gas prices for California are strictly greater than $5.8850 on Sep 12, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:AAA
- If average regular gas prices for California are strictly greater than $5.8900 on Sep 12, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If average regular gas prices for California are strictly greater than $5.8950 on Sep 12, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If average regular gas prices for California are strictly greater than $5.9000 on Sep 12, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If average regular gas prices for California are strictly greater than $5.9050 on Sep 12, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If average regular gas prices for California are strictly greater than $5.9100 on Sep 12, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.