KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityAmi Bera 95%-0.1pt
Market quality
65 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1
Liquidity
$11.6K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
94.8% / 94.9%
Spread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Jul 1, 25, 9:00 PMNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Ami Bera95%
Compare venues· Ami Bera
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiThis pageBest overall | Medium | 95% | — | $1 | $11.6K | 12 minutes ago | |
 Polymarket60% match · verified | Low | 93% | — | $0 | $29.5K | 12 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Polymarket
CA-03 House Election Winner
3mo
96.9%
3.1%
0%
+5 more outcomes
49 • Low qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$32.9K
24h Vol$0
POLYMARKETRules
If the House member sworn in for CA-03 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If the House member sworn in for CA-03 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$1Jul 36d of dataJul 27
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If the House member sworn in for CA-03 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If the House member sworn in for CA-03 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.