Prediction Markets

Prediction Source Comparison

Explore matched prediction questions where sources diverge most on the current probability estimate.

Showing disagreements of 5 points or more.

Platform availability by country

What will Trump say this week? (April 5)

1178pt disagreement
Epic Fury
100%
Kuwait
100%
Filibuster
100%

+19 more outcomes

$10.8K vol 24h

Wide spreadLow liquidity
Market-implied probabilityNot available in USNo KYC2% taker feeSettles in USDCAMM
Autism
99%
Communist / Communism
99%
Barack Hussein Obama
99%

+44 more outcomes

$1.5K vol 24h

Low liquidity
Exchange order bookUS residents onlyKYC required2% taker feeSettles in USDCLOB

Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

1025pt disagreement
Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
100%
Spread -1.5
100%
O/U 9.5
100%

+18 more outcomes

$619.7K vol 24h

Tight spreadHigh liquidity
Market-implied probabilityNot available in USNo KYC2% taker feeSettles in USDCAMM
Atlanta
99%
Arizona
1%

+19 more outcomes

$26.9K vol 24h

Tight spreadLow liquidity
Exchange order bookUS residents onlyKYC required2% taker feeSettles in USDCLOB

Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals

1000pt disagreement
O/U 15.5
100%
O/U 14.5
100%
O/U 10.5
100%

+26 more outcomes

$393.4K vol 24h

High liquidity
Market-implied probabilityNot available in USNo KYC2% taker feeSettles in USDCAMM
Kansas City
99%
Minnesota
1%

+27 more outcomes

$23.7K vol 24h

Tight spreadLow liquidity
Exchange order bookUS residents onlyKYC required2% taker feeSettles in USDCLOB

What will MrBeast say during his next YouTube video?

934pt disagreement
Dollar 5+ times
100%
Challenge 3+ times
100%
Tesla / Lamborghini
100%

+20 more outcomes

$58.5K vol 24h

Tight spreadLow liquidity
Market-implied probabilityNot available in USNo KYC2% taker feeSettles in USDCAMM
Prize
▼ -26pt2%
Contestant
▲ +13pt19%
AI / Artificial Intelligence
▲ +1pt1%

+33 more outcomes

$1.2K vol 24h

Wide spreadLow liquidity
Exchange order bookUS residents onlyKYC required2% taker feeSettles in USDCLOB

Los Angeles D vs Washington

926pt disagreement
Washington
67%
Los Angeles D
35%

$12.1K vol 24h

Tight spreadLow liquidity
Exchange order bookUS residents onlyKYC required2% taker feeSettles in USDCLOB
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationals
100%
Spread -1.5
100%
O/U 10.5
100%

+23 more outcomes

$990.2K vol 24h

Tight spreadHigh liquidity
Market-implied probabilityNot available in USNo KYC2% taker feeSettles in USDCAMM
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationals
65%
Spread -1.5
55%
NRFI
49%

+3 more outcomes

$42.8K vol 24h

Moderate spreadHigh liquidity
Market-implied probabilityNot available in USNo KYC2% taker feeSettles in USDCAMM

New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giants

772pt disagreement
New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giants
100%
Spread -1.5
100%
O/U 7.5
100%

+13 more outcomes

$514.5K vol 24h

Tight spreadMedium liquidity
Market-implied probabilityNot available in USNo KYC2% taker feeSettles in USDCAMM
New York M
54%
San Francisco
46%

+15 more outcomes

$3.8K vol 24h

Tight spreadLow liquidity
Exchange order bookUS residents onlyKYC required2% taker feeSettles in USDCLOB

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Detroit Tigers

766pt disagreement
O/U 6.5
100%
Spread -2.5
100%
Spread -3.5
100%

+17 more outcomes

$1M vol 24h

Medium liquidity
Market-implied probabilityNot available in USNo KYC2% taker feeSettles in USDCAMM
Detroit
61%
St. Louis
40%

+18 more outcomes

$2.3K vol 24h

Tight spreadLow liquidity
Exchange order bookUS residents onlyKYC required2% taker feeSettles in USDCLOB

What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?

709pt disagreement
Epic Fury
85%
President 50+ times
84%
President 60+ times
63%

+12 more outcomes

$857 vol 24h

Wide spreadLow liquidity
Market-implied probabilityNot available in USNo KYC2% taker feeSettles in USDCAMM
Epic Fury
▼ -1pt84%
TSA
▲ +11pt62%
Fraud
0pt40%

+33 more outcomes

$82 vol 24h

Wide spreadLow liquidity
Exchange order bookUS residents onlyKYC required2% taker feeSettles in USDCLOB

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

691pt disagreement
↑1k
100%
↑500
100%
↑2k
99%

+6 more outcomes

$2.8K vol 24h

Wide spreadMedium liquidity
Market-implied probabilityNot available in USNo KYC2% taker feeSettles in USDCAMM
Above 500
99%
Above 750
99%
Above 1000
99%

+17 more outcomes

$16.3 vol 24h

Moderate spreadLow liquidity
Exchange order bookUS residents onlyKYC required2% taker feeSettles in USDCLOB

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationals

626pt disagreement
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationals
100%
Spread -4.5
100%
O/U 12.5
100%

+14 more outcomes

$263.4K vol 24h

Tight spreadHigh liquidity
Market-implied probabilityNot available in USNo KYC2% taker feeSettles in USDCAMM
Los Angeles D
99%
Washington
1%

+16 more outcomes

$12.6K vol 24h

Tight spreadLow liquidity
Exchange order bookUS residents onlyKYC required2% taker feeSettles in USDCLOB

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