PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
September 29 30%Führend unter 8 Optionen
Marktqualitat
62 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
8681 €
Liquidität
30.746 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
4.8 pt
Mittlerer SpreadKommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 19 Minuten
22. Sept. 26, 23:38 UTC30. Sept. 26, 20:59 UTC
Trends
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Polymarket
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Mindestorder (Anteile):
- 5
- Preisschritt:
- 1 Prozentpunkte
- Gebühren:
- Nein
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will ballistic missile with range over 500km launched from Ukraine hit any target in Russia in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump visit Moscow (capital of Russia) in 2026
Manifold MarketsWill the largest gay club in Moscow shut down in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWas the Moscow concert hall attack a false flag?
Manifold MarketsNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
PolymarketNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine targets Moscow through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Moscow time.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Ukraine, directed at Moscow.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
- The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.
Offene Märkte
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 316%
- September 30-0.3pt0%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 65 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 381.461 €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt62%
- October 31-6.0pt33%
- September 30-4.0pt8%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms+0.7pt14%
- Save the Children+2.4pt12%
- Yulia Navalnaya-0.5pt7%
+28 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- No+4.0pt79.2%
- Yes-4.0pt20.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 11 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 209.555,3 €
POLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- September 25-0.1pt97%
- September 30-1.0pt90%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 185.254,4 €
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No86%
- Yes14%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 60,1 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 162.941,8 €
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Trump renames AI by September 30?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- What will Zelenskyy say during the United Nations General Assembly?
- Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by which date?
- Which leaders will leave office in 2026?
- US-Yemen ceasefire continues through which date?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Ukraine target Moscow on??
- Polymarket bewertet September 29 mit 30% (Stand: 23. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Ukraine target Moscow on? entschieden?
- Will Ukraine target Moscow on? soll am 30. September 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Ukraine target Moscow on? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine targets Moscow through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Moscow time.