Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 74.8%
Prognostiker
5
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 15 Stunden
Veraltet19. Jan. 26, 13:08 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Trump visit Moscow (capital of Russia) in 2026
Manifold MarketsWill Ukraine target Moscow on?
PolymarketWas the Moscow concert hall attack a false flag?
Manifold MarketsNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
PolymarketWhich cities will Russia enter by December 31?
PolymarketWhere will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve YES if the gay club known as 'Central Station Moscow' shuts down by the end of 2026 and is closed for 90 consecutive days.
- This market will otherwise resolve NO.
- Clarifications
- It will be presumed that Central Station Moscow has not shut down until there is reason to believe otherwise.
- In order for the market to resolve YES, the 90-day shutdown period must begin before the end of 2026 but does not need to occur entirely within 2026.
Offene Märkte
Russia / UkrainePOLYMARKETNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
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+28 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 21,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 285.058,7 €
POLYMARKETWhich cities will Russia enter by December 31?
- Druzkhivka-4.5pt40%
- Kramatorsk-1.0pt19%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 138.454,2 €
POLYMARKETWhere will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
- China-5.5pt65.3%
- No meeting by December 31-2.0pt22.8%
- United States+5.2pt6.9%
+12 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
- June 30, 202712%
- December-0.1pt4%
- September 30,-0.1pt0%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- December 31-1.0pt31%
- October 31-3.0pt18%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 6,8 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 91.681,2 €
POLYMARKETRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- December 31,+1.0pt73%
- November 30,+1.0pt70%
- September 30,65%
+15 weitere Ergebnisse
- Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Will Russia invade a NATO country by which date?
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
- Russia military action against EU country by which date?
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by which date?
- Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
- Trump meets with Putin by which date?
- Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by which date?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the largest gay club in Moscow shut down in 2026??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 74.8% (Stand: 23. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will the largest gay club in Moscow shut down in 2026? entschieden?
- Will the largest gay club in Moscow shut down in 2026? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will the largest gay club in Moscow shut down in 2026? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria