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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Politik
  3. Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

1.0% (24h)YearlyPolitikGeopolitik6Mon
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja
Ja 11%+0.0%
Marktqualitat

44 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

56,3 €

Liquidität

15.679,9 €

Mittlere Liquidität
Geld / Brief

10.0% / 11.0%

Spread

10.0%

Breiter Spread
7d-Änderung

-4.0%

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 2 Minuten

5. Jan. 26, 19:1931. Dez. 26, 0:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Yes11%

Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. government personnel (including U.S. military, CIA, or any U.S. federal law enforcement agency) directly participate on the ground in an operation that results in the capture of a qualifying head of state by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Only individuals who are the active head of state of a UN member state at the time of capture will qualify.
  • Acting/interim heads of state will qualify if they are widely recognized as holding the head-of-state office at that time.
  • For the purposes of this market, “capture” means the head of state is taken into physical custody and detained (including arrest, detention, or seizure) such that they are no longer free to leave at will, even if only temporarily.
  • Voluntary surrender may qualify if it results in immediate detention/custody.

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In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$62,968.51+2.66%SolanaSOL$65.39+2.08%EthereumETH$1,661.66+2.03%DogecoinDOGE$0.0851+1.85%HyperliquidHYPE$55.99+0.83%XRPXRP$1.12+0.85%

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Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. government personnel (including U.S. military, CIA, or any U.S. federal law enforcement agency) directly participate on the ground in an operation that results in the capture of a qualifying head of state by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Only individuals who are the active head of state of a UN member state at the time of capture will qualify.
  • Acting/interim heads of state will qualify if they are widely recognized as holding the head-of-state office at that time.
  • For the purposes of this market, “capture” means the head of state is taken into physical custody and detained (including arrest, detention, or seizure) such that they are no longer free to leave at will, even if only temporarily.
  • Voluntary surrender may qualify if it results in immediate detention/custody.