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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Politik
  3. Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by...?
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by...?

Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by...?

2.4% (24h)One-OffPolitikLatin America18T
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
December 31
December 31 20%
Führend unter 3 Optionen
Marktqualitat

89 / 100

Hohe Qualität
24h-Volumen

4476,1 €

Liquidität

39.069,6 €

Hohe Liquidität
Geld / Brief

5.8% / 6.0%

Spread

3.5%

Mittlerer Spread
7d-Änderung

+1.9%

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten

18. Mai 26, 14:1630. Juni 26, 0:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit
May 31
May 31
0%

Gewähltes Ergebnis

December 3120%

Regeln

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Raul Castro is taken into U.S. government custody at any point by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • Raul Castro will be considered taken into U.S. government custody if U.S. government personnel (including military, CIA, personnel of another agency, or contractors acting under direct U.S. government authority) physically detain, arrest, capture, or otherwise assume physical custodial control of Raul Castro, regardless of location or duration.
  • Visits, interactions with U.S. government personnel, or Raul Castro’s presence in U.S. spaces (including vessels, bases, facilities, or meetings) in a voluntary, non-detained capacity will not qualify.
  • A voluntary surrender to U.S. personnel in which Raul Castro submits to U.S. custody, however, will qualify.
  • Custody that is carried out by non-U.S. entities (including allied or partner forces) will not qualify unless U.S. personnel are physically present and themselves assume custodial control of Raul Castro, or unless a subsequent transfer into U.S. custody occurs.

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In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$62,607.97+1.74%EthereumETH$1,652.06+1.37%SolanaSOL$65.07+0.84%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.02%XRPXRP$1.12-0.29%BNBBNB$595.28+1.26%

Verwandte Nachrichten

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Regeln

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Raul Castro is taken into U.S. government custody at any point by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • Raul Castro will be considered taken into U.S. government custody if U.S. government personnel (including military, CIA, personnel of another agency, or contractors acting under direct U.S. government authority) physically detain, arrest, capture, or otherwise assume physical custodial control of Raul Castro, regardless of location or duration.
  • Visits, interactions with U.S. government personnel, or Raul Castro’s presence in U.S. spaces (including vessels, bases, facilities, or meetings) in a voluntary, non-detained capacity will not qualify.
  • A voluntary surrender to U.S. personnel in which Raul Castro submits to U.S. custody, however, will qualify.
  • Custody that is carried out by non-U.S. entities (including allied or partner forces) will not qualify unless U.S. personnel are physically present and themselves assume custodial control of Raul Castro, or unless a subsequent transfer into U.S. custody occurs.