Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by which date?
1.5 Pkt. (24h)US PoliticsOne-OffPolitikLatin AmericaGeopolitik3Mon
PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
December 31 4%-1.5ptFührend unter 3 Optionen
Marktqualitat
63 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
882,3 €
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20.312,6 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
2.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadKommentare
23
7d-Änderung
-1.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten
18. Mai 26, 14:12 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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PolymarketRegeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Raul Castro is taken into U.S. government custody at any point by the named outcome, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Raul Castro will be considered taken into U.S. government custody if U.S. government personnel (including military, CIA, personnel of another agency, or contractors acting under direct U.S. government authority) physically detain, arrest, capture, or otherwise assume physical custodial control of Raul Castro, regardless of location or duration.
- Visits, interactions with U.S. government personnel, or Raul Castro’s presence in U.S. spaces (including vessels, bases, facilities, or meetings) in a voluntary, non-detained capacity will not qualify.
- A voluntary surrender to U.S. personnel in which Raul Castro submits to U.S. custody, however, will qualify.
- Custody that is carried out by non-U.S. entities (including allied or partner forces) will not qualify unless U.S. personnel are physically present and themselves assume custodial control of Raul Castro, or unless a subsequent transfer into U.S. custody occurs.
