Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 82.2%
Prognostiker
8
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Stunden
Veraltet22. Nov. 25, 17:01 UTC1. Jan. 27, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Raul Castro in USA before end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsEx-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by which date?
PolymarketWill Raúl Castro be taken into US custody by the end of 2026?
FutuurWho will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?
KalshiVenezuela leader end of 2026?
PolymarketMaduro Prison Time?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Raúl Castro, born June 3, 1931, dies before January 1, 2027.
- Resolution will be confirmed through major news outlets reporting his death.
- The market resolves NO if he remains alive through December 31, 2026.
- Raúl Castro served as President of Cuba between 2008 and 2018 and announced his retirement at the Eighth Congress of the Communist Party of Cuba in April 2021.
- The retired general is 94 years old as of October 2025.
