Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 82.2%
Prognostiker
8
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 14 Stunden
Veraltet22. Nov. 25, 17:01 UTC1. Jan. 27, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Raul Castro in USA before end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsEx-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by which date?
PolymarketWill Raúl Castro be taken into US custody by the end of 2026?
FutuurVenezuelan leader dies in us prison by 2030?
Manifold MarketsBrazil Presidential Election
PolymarketTrump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Raúl Castro, born June 3, 1931, dies before January 1, 2027.
- Resolution will be confirmed through major news outlets reporting his death.
- The market resolves NO if he remains alive through December 31, 2026.
- Raúl Castro served as President of Cuba between 2008 and 2018 and announced his retirement at the Eighth Congress of the Communist Party of Cuba in April 2021.
- The retired general is 94 years old as of October 2025.
Offene Märkte
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- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
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+38 weitere Ergebnisse
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- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
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- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Raul Castro dies before 2027??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 82% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Raul Castro dies before 2027? entschieden?
- Raul Castro dies before 2027? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Raul Castro dies before 2027? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria