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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Politik
  3. Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

YearlyPolitikGeopolitikLatin America6Mon
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja
Ja 23%
Marktqualitat

60 / 100

Mittlere Qualität
24h-Volumen

11,1 €

Liquidität

20.768,8 €

Mittlere Liquidität
Geld / Brief

22.0% / 23.0%

Spread

4.5%

Mittlerer Spread
7d-Änderung

-0.5%

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten

4. Jan. 26, 21:0531. Dez. 26, 0:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Yes23%

Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
  • Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
  • The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.

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In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$62,772.90+2.12%SolanaSOL$65.12+1.41%EthereumETH$1,654.95+1.40%DogecoinDOGE$0.0848+1.33%HyperliquidHYPE$55.58+0.44%XRPXRP$1.11+0.23%

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Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
  • Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
  • The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.