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  1. Prognosemärkte
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  3. U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

One-OffPolitikGeopolitikLatin America6Mon
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja
Ja 7%
Marktqualitat

64 / 100

Mittlere Qualität
24h-Volumen

790,9 €

Liquidität

23.786,6 €

Hohe Liquidität
Geld / Brief

6.0% / 8.0%

Spread

33.3%

Breiter Spread
7d-Änderung

-0.5%

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute

31. Jan. 26, 0:2531. Dez. 26, 0:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Yes7%

Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
  • A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified.
  • Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
  • A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified.
  • Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.