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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Politik
  3. Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?
Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

YearlyPolitikGeopolitikLatin America6Mon
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Delcy Rodríguez
Delcy Rodríguez 91%
Führend unter 43 Optionen
Marktqualitat

56 / 100

Mittlere Qualität
24h-Volumen

114,9 €

Liquidität

454.221,4 €

Hohe Liquidität
Geld / Brief

0.1% / 0.2%

Spread

100.0%

Breiter Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute

4. Mai 26, 19:5831. Dez. 26, 0:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
0%
Edmundo González
Edmundo González
0%

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Delcy Rodríguez91%

Regeln

This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
  • Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
  • If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
  • Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
  • Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.

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Delcy Rodríguez: 90%KalshiKALSHI

In diesen Themen aktiv

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Regeln

This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
  • Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
  • If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
  • Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
  • Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.