PolymarketGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertVom Anbieter Markt für Markt abgerechnet
Entschieden: 13.08.2026, 12:55
Dieses Ereignis hat keinen einzelnen Gewinner. Der Anbieter hat jeden Markt einzeln abgerechnet; jeder Markt zeigt sein eigenes Ergebnis.
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
May 310%
July 314%
March 310%
April 300%
August 31100%
September 30100%
August 31Gewonnen
September 30Gewonnen
May 31Verloren
July 31Verloren
March 31Verloren
April 30Verloren
Regeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Stinky, Donetsk Oblast, (48.578829902717374° N, 37.73960567273168° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.