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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Russia / Ukraine
  3. Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

One-OffRussia / Ukraine6Mon
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja
Ja 16%
Marktqualitat

72 / 100

Mittlere Qualität
24h-Volumen

94,9 €

Liquidität

30.554,3 €

Hohe Liquidität
Geld / Brief

15.0% / 16.0%

Spread

6.7%

Mittlerer Spread
7d-Änderung

-2.0%

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten

13. Nov. 25, 21:4631. Dez. 26, 0:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Yes16%

Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a deal in which Ukraine agrees to cede any territory under its control at the time of the agreement is reached between the Russian Federation and Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • The deal must be a publicly announced mutual agreement or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
  • If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
  • Only territory ceded as part of a diplomatic process or agreement will qualify.
  • If a territorial adjustment is made as part of a mutual border demarcation process or technical boundary agreement that does not materially alter de facto control or reflect a broader territorial concession, it will not qualify for a 'Yes' resolution unless it is reported as a territorial concession by a consensus of credible reporting.

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In diesen Themen aktiv

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Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a deal in which Ukraine agrees to cede any territory under its control at the time of the agreement is reached between the Russian Federation and Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • The deal must be a publicly announced mutual agreement or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
  • If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
  • Only territory ceded as part of a diplomatic process or agreement will qualify.
  • If a territorial adjustment is made as part of a mutual border demarcation process or technical boundary agreement that does not materially alter de facto control or reflect a broader territorial concession, it will not qualify for a 'Yes' resolution unless it is reported as a territorial concession by a consensus of credible reporting.