PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
September 30 32%-5.5ptFührend unter 3 Optionen
Marktqualitat
58 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
21.847,8 €
Liquidität
1151,7 €
Niedrige LiquiditätSpread
3.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadKommentare
0
7d-Änderung
+1.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Minuten
18. Aug. 26, 23:3630. Sept. 26, 23:59
Trends
Regeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets Bahrain through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Arabia Standard Time (AST).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Iran, directed at Bahrain.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
- The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Iran target Bahrain by which date??
- Polymarket bewertet September 30 mit 32% (Stand: 28. August 2026).
- Wann wird Will Iran target Bahrain by which date? entschieden?
- Will Iran target Bahrain by which date? soll am 30. September 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Iran target Bahrain by which date? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets Bahrain through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Arabia Standard Time (AST).