PolymarketGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertDieser Markt ist geschlossen und wartet auf eine bestätigte Auflösung.
Nicht verifizierte Auflösungsdaten
Dieses Ergebnis ist abgeleitet oder nicht durch anbietergestützte Auflösungsnachweise gedeckt.
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
June 30 100%+11.4ptFührend unter 35 Optionen
Marktqualitat
≤49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
292.815,6 €
Liquidität
—
Liquidität unbekanntSpread
0.1 pt
Enger Spread7d-Änderung
+72.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 71 Tagen
Veraltet12. Apr. 26, 18:2230. Apr. 26, 0:00
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
June 30100%
July 3188%
June 21100%
April 150%
April 160%
April 170%
April 180%
April 220%
April 300%
April 190%
April 210%
April 200%
April 230%
April 240%
April 250%
April 270%
April 290%
May 50%
April 260%
April 280%
May 150%
May 310%
June 150%
May 220%
May 280%
June 30%
June 70%
June 100%
June 130%
June 140%
June 181%
June 190%
June 170%
June 160%
June 200%
100%
100%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Regeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments.
- Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
- Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
- The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media.
