PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 95%
Marktqualitat
≤49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
7899 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
4.0% / 5.8%
Spread
1.8 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
21
7d-Änderung
-6.6 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Minuten
10. Juni 26, 00:00 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will French journalist Christophe Gleizes be pardoned or released from Algerian detention before December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsIf Trump is convicted, will he be pardoned? (2028)
Manifold MarketsWill SBF be pardoned?
Manifold MarketsMaduro Prison Time?
PolymarketAny Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?
PolymarketWill Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pedro Castillo receives a presidential pardon, commutation, right of grace, humanitarian pardon, or other formal grant of clemency from the President of Peru by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
- A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
- Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
- The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru.
Offene Märkte
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.3pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,1 Mrd. €
- 24h-Volumen
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt16%
- Ron DeSantis-0.1pt3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro-33.7pt51%
- Delcy Rodríguez+29.5pt42%
- No Head of State-0.3pt1%
+13 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+0.5pt90.1%
- Republican Party-1.3pt9.9%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 29,2 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 621.591,2 €
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt94%
- Yes-2.0pt6%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 19,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 488.821,4 €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt59%
- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt30%
- Republicans sweep-1.3pt10%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
- 2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- What will Trump say this week?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026??
- Polymarket bewertet No mit 95% (Stand: 20. September 2026).
- Wann wird Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026? entschieden?
- Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pedro Castillo receives a presidential pardon, commutation, right of grace, humanitarian pardon, or other formal grant of clemency from the President of Peru by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PET.