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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Politik
  3. Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?
Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?

Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?

35.0% (24h)PolitikOne-OffWahlLatin AmericaCrime & Justice6Mon
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja
Ja 17%-0.3%
Marktqualitat

52 / 100

Mittlere Qualität
24h-Volumen

2295,4 €

Liquidität

10.278,3 €

Mittlere Liquidität
Geld / Brief

16.0% / 18.0%

Spread

12.5%

Breiter Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 4 Minuten

10. Juni 26, 0:1131. Dez. 26, 0:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Yes17%

Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pedro Castillo receives a presidential pardon, commutation, right of grace, humanitarian pardon, or other formal grant of clemency from the President of Peru by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
  • A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
  • Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
  • The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru.

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Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pedro Castillo receives a presidential pardon, commutation, right of grace, humanitarian pardon, or other formal grant of clemency from the President of Peru by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
  • A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
  • Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
  • The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru.