Will any January 6th participant pardoned/commuted by Trump be responsible for a homicide before 1/20/2027?
PolitikOne-OffUS-PolitikKriminalität & Justiz2MonManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 62.3%
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9
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aktualisiert vor 13 Stunden
Veraltet24. Jan. 25, 20:54 UTC21. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
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Background President Trump has the pardoned or commuted the sentences of individuals involved in the January 6th Capitol riot, including individuals convicted for violent acts that occurred during those events.
- Resolution Criteria This market will resolve YES if:
- Any pardoned/commuted individual is found legally responsible (through conviction or guilty plea) for a homicide that occurs between their pardon/commutation and January 20, 2027
- The homicide can be of any type (first degree, second degree, manslaughter, etc.)
- The market will resolve NO if:
- No pardoned/commuted January 6th participant is found legally responsible for a homicide during the specified timeframe
