Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
March 31, 2027 28%-2.5pt
Marktqualitat
68 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
5849,7 €
Liquidität
13.195,5 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
19.0% / 20.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
23
7d-Änderung
+5.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Minuten
24. Juni 26, 09:44 UTC1. Apr. 27, 03:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK Leader before 1st March 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Nigel Farage lead the Reform UK party into the next General Election?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next permanent leader of Reform UK (after Nigel Farage)?
Manifold MarketsNigel Farage Exit Date
SmarketsHolborn and St Pancras by-election: Reform UK vote percent
KalshiNext Reform Leader
SmarketsRegeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage ceases to be the Leader of Reform UK for any period of time between market creation and the named outcome, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of Nigel Farage’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Reform UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.