Will Nigel Farage lead the Reform UK party into the next General Election?
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Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Ja 70.2%
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Veraltet5. Jan. 25, 15:07 UTC1. Jan. 30, 23:59 UTC
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KalshiRegeln
Resolves YES if Wikipedia and/or Reform’s official website list Nigel Farage as party leader on polling day of the next UK general election after July 2024.
- Resolves NO if there is no Reform UK party candidate standing due to merger or lack of candidates.
- If Reform UK rebrand but otherwise remain relatively unchanged in terms of MPs and membership then this will resolve based on the new party name.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Nigel Farage lead the Reform UK party into the next General Election??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 70% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Nigel Farage lead the Reform UK party into the next General Election? entschieden?
- Will Nigel Farage lead the Reform UK party into the next General Election? soll am 1. Januar 2030 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Nigel Farage lead the Reform UK party into the next General Election? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves YES if Wikipedia and/or Reform’s official website list Nigel Farage as party leader on polling day of the next UK general election after July 2024.