How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 28?
4.0 Pkt. (24h)Middle EastOne-OffTrade Policy9T
PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
<20 34.7%+4.0ptFührend unter 6 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Marktqualitat
73 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
2738,4 €
Liquidität
34.546,9 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
2.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadKommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute
22. Sept. 26, 18:24 UTC4. Okt. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Polymarket
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- 5
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- 1 Prozentpunkte
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 21?
PolymarketWill __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30?
PolymarketHow many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of September 28?
Polymarket0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by which date?
PolymarketWill IMF PortWatch show a Strait of Hormuz 7-day transit average of 15 or more on any date through Oct 15, 2026?
Manifold MarketsOn September 27th 2026, what will the 7-day average ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz be?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from September 28, 2026, through October 4, 2026, inclusive.
- Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as all relevant data has been published.
- If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point.
- In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections.
