PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
December 31 54%+5.0ptFührend unter 5 Optionen
Marktqualitat
58 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
428,1 €
Liquidität
2002,8 €
Niedrige LiquiditätSpread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
0
7d-Änderung
-6.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Minuten
10. Juli 26, 22:23 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
0%
0%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Regeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 5 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- Grok 5 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 5, or a model that is clearly recognized as xAI’s next flagship generation succeeding Grok 4.
- Models released under the Grok 4 generation, including Grok 4.6, Grok 4.7, or similar variants, will not qualify.
- Qualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will not count unless they are explicitly branded as Grok 5 or otherwise clearly announced by xAI as its next flagship Grok generation.
- For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
Offene Märkte
AIPOLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of October?
- Alibaba+2.0pt69%
- Moonshot-9.5pt14%
- Z.ai-2.3pt6%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 75.086,5 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 61.476,6 €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+1.3pt68.9%
- ChatGPT+1.9pt15.5%
- Gemini+0.2pt6.8%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,8 Mio. €
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba+2.5pt85.4%
- Moonshot-0.3pt9.7%
- Z.ai-3.4pt1.9%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIAnthropic market share this week
- Above 2.05%+3.0pt99%
- Above 2.25%98%
- Above 2.55%+18.0pt94%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 61.059,8 €
KALSHITencent market share this week
- Above 2.7%+4.0pt96%
- Above 4.5%+22.0pt43%
- Above 5.6%+2.0pt13%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.25T+1.3pt100%
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
- Anthropic IPO by which date?
- DeepSeek market share this week
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- OpenAI market share this week
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Best AI in Sep 2026?
- Best AI this week
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Grok 5 released by which date??
- Polymarket bewertet December 31 mit 54% (Stand: 17. September 2026).
- Wann wird Grok 5 released by which date? entschieden?
- Grok 5 released by which date? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Grok 5 released by which date? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 5 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET).