Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028?

Myriad bewertet Gavin Newsom mit 40.7% (Stand: 10. Oktober 2026).

Wann wird Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 entschieden?

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 soll am 1. Januar 2100 entschieden werden.

Myriad rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: ### **Market Dates:**

Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Manifold Markets, Smarkets, Kalshi, Robinhood (Rothera), Polymarket, Limitless, ForecastEx, PredictIt gelistet.

2.5 Pkt. (24h)PolitikOne-OffUS-Politik Wahl

MyriadVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYCEingeschränkte verifizierte Daten

Warnung zur DatenqualitätNicht aussagekräftig bepreist

Daten vom 10.10.2026, 07:01 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4

Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit

Gavin Newsom 40.7%+2.5pt

Führend unter 32 Optionen

Marktqualitat

22 / 100

Niedrige Qualität

24h-Volumen

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Liquidität

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Liquidität unbekannt

Trader

5,547

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute

24. Feb. 26, 14:41 UTC1. Jan. 00, 00:01 UTC

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Verwandte Märkte

Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.

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Will Gavin Newsom be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028?

If Gavin Newsom is the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028, who will be the Vice Presidential nominee?

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Regeln

### **Market Dates:**

- **Market Period:** From the publication date until the nomination is officially determined. - **Market Close:** This market remains open until a resolution is achieved. - **Resolution Deadline:** The market will resolve as soon as an outcome is reached.
### **Resolution Criteria:**
- This market resolves to the **individual candidate who officially wins and accepts the 2028 Democratic Party nomination for President of the United States**. - If a candidate not represented by their own bracket wins, the market resolves to “Other.” - Confirmation will rely on the Democratic Party’s **official communications**, as well as reporting from: - **Associated Press** - **Reuters** - **Fox News**
### **Resolution Details:**
- Once the Democratic National Committee (DNC) or the candidate formally announces and accepts the nomination, the market resolves immediately. - If a candidate later withdraws, is replaced, or is removed before Election Day, this does not impact the already resolved outcome. - Superdelegate counts, internal party projections, or unofficial announcements are insufficient unless they are formally confirmed by the party or supported by the resolution sources.