Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028?

Manifold Markets bewertet Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez mit 15.3% (Stand: 10. Oktober 2026).

Wann wird Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 entschieden?

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 soll am 15. August 2028 entschieden werden.

Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria

Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Manifold Markets, Smarkets, Kalshi, Robinhood (Rothera), Polymarket, Limitless, ForecastEx, Myriad gelistet.

0.4 Pkt. (24h)One-OffPolitik Wahl US-Politik1J

Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriert

Aktuelle Community-Prognose

Other 32%-0.4pt

Führend unter 8 Optionen

Prognostiker

Fragetyp

multiple choice

Methodik

Play-money forecasting platform

Quellentyp

Prognose

7d-Änderung

-1.0 pts

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 7 Stunden

Veraltet

18. Mai 26, 11:15 UTC15. Aug. 28, 23:59 UTC

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Verwandte Märkte

Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.

2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee

Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?

Age of 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee?

Will Gavin Newsom be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028?

Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028?

Regeln

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to the individual who officially secures the Democratic Party nomination for President of the United States in the 2028 election.
The market resolves based on the results of the 2028 Democratic National Convention.
If a candidate other than those listed officially receives the nomination, the "Other" option will resolve to YES.
In the event that the Democratic Party fails to field a presidential nominee, or if the election is cancelled, the market will resolve N/A. Official confirmation will be sourced from the Democratic National Committee (https://democrats.org/) and major news outlets (e.g., Associated Press, Reuters).