Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17%Führend unter 17 Optionen
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17%Prognostiker
24
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
+0.1 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Stunden
Veraltet23. Dez. 24, 23:29 UTC1. Juli 28, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Conditional on (x) being the 2028 democratic nominee, (x) wins the 2028 presidential election
Manifold MarketsWho will be the Democratic nominee, and will they win the 2028 presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWill the Democratic nominee for 2028 presidential election be a female?
Manifold MarketsWill the Republican nominee or Democratic nominee for 2028 presidential election be a female?
Manifold MarketsLA-05 Democratic nominee?
KalshiLA-04 Democratic nominee?
KalshiRegeln
Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve based on who becomes the Democratic Party's nominee for the 2028 presidential election, as determined by:
- Securing enough delegates to win the nomination at the Democratic National Convention, OR
- Being declared the presumptive nominee after all other candidates have dropped out or suspended their campaigns
- The market will resolve N/A if:
- The Democratic Party dissolves or ceases to exist before 2028
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
- Auch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets — Who will be the democratic nominee for president in 2028 · AOC 17%
- Auch verfügbar auf Smarkets — Democratic Presidential Nominee · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17%
- Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi — 2028 Democratic presidential nominee · Jon Ossoff 17%
- Auch verfügbar auf Robinhood (Rothera) — 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee · JOSS 20%
- Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket — Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 18%
- Auch verfügbar auf Limitless — Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
