Who will be the Democratic nominee, and will they win the 2028 presidential election?
PolitikOne-OffUS PoliticsWahl2JManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseSomeone else is the Democratic nominee and that person WINS the presidency 15.1%Führend unter 22 Optionen
Prognostiker
8
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
-0.1 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Stunden
Veraltet26. Aug. 26, 11:52 UTC7. Nov. 28, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Democratic Nominee for 2028 Presidential Election
Manifold MarketsWho will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill the 2028 Democratic Nominee win any state by 10.000% or more, that was won by trump in 2024?
Manifold MarketsPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketWhich party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
PolymarketWill Trump's first pick win the 2028 US presidential election?
PolymarketRegeln
This market resolves to the option that correctly identifies the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee and whether they win the 2028 U.S. presidential election.
- Democratic Nominee: The individual who officially secures the Democratic Party's presidential nomination at the 2028 Democratic National Convention (DNC) or is formally certified by the Democratic National Committee to appear on the general election ballot in November 2028.
- Winning the Presidency: The candidate will be treated as having won the 2028 presidential election once there is a clear consensus among major reputable news organizations that they are the president-elect.
- For this purpose, “clear consensus” means the Associated Press has called the race for the candidate and at least two of Reuters, the New York Times, CNN, Fox News, ABC News, CBS News, or NBC News have done the same.
- Resolution Rules:
- Only one option will resolve YES; all other options will resolve NO.
Offene Märkte
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- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Who will be the Democratic nominee, and will they win the 2028 presidential election??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Someone else is the Democratic nominee and that person WINS the presidency mit 15% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Who will be the Democratic nominee, and will they win the 2028 presidential election? entschieden?
- Who will be the Democratic nominee, and will they win the 2028 presidential election? soll am 7. November 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Who will be the Democratic nominee, and will they win the 2028 presidential election? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market resolves to the option that correctly identifies the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee and whether they win the 2028 U.S. presidential election.