Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 76%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Prognose
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Aktualisiert vor 9 Stunden
Veraltet7. Juni 26, 22:00 UTC31. Aug. 28, 23:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?
PolymarketDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Polymarket2028 Democratic presidential nominee
Kalshi2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee
Robinhood (Rothera)Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Manifold MarketsAge of 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if the official Democratic nominee for President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election is a woman.
- It will resolve to NO if the nominee is a man or does not identify as a woman.
- Source of Truth: Resolution will be determined by the official nomination at the 2028 Democratic National Convention (scheduled for August 7–10, 2028) or the official nominee certified by the Democratic National Committee (DNC) if the selection is conducted via an alternative official process (e.g., a virtual roll call).
- Gender Identity: The gender of the nominee will be determined by their public self-identification at the time of nomination.
- Edge Cases: If a candidate is officially nominated but subsequently withdraws, dies, or is replaced after the formal conclusion of the nominating convention or official selection process, the market will still resolve based on the identity of the person who originally accepted the nomination.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
Offene Märkte
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.5pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,1 Mrd. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1,8 Mio. €
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Delcy Rodríguez+44.0pt57.4%
- Nicolás Maduro-40.9pt41.6%
- No Head of State-0.1pt1%
+13 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.1pt16%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 615,5 Mio. €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt17.9%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt16.8%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.7%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep-1.0pt58.6%
- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt30.3%
- Republicans sweep-0.2pt10.1%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 weitere Ergebnisse
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 76% (Stand: 20. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman? entschieden?
- Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman? soll am 31. August 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria
- Wo wird Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman? außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf PredictIt, Polymarket gelistet.