Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?
0.5 Pkt. (24h)One-OffPolitikWahlUS Politics2J
PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitNein 68.3%
Marktqualitat
49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
0 €
Liquidität
2059,3 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
30.0% / 33.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 20 Minuten
17. Feb. 26, 22:447. Nov. 28, 0:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Yes32%
Plattformen vergleichen· No
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketDiese SeiteBeste insgesamt | Niedrig | 69% | — | 0 € | 2059,3 € | vor 20 Minuten | |
 Manifold Markets95% Übereinstimmung · auto | — | 66% | — | — | — | vor 30 Tagen | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets
Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?
2J
66.2%
33.8%
Community-Prognose8 PrognostikerTyp: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
- Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$15. Juli10T Daten16. Juli
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
- Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.