Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?
0.5 Pkt. (24h)One-OffPolitikWahlUS Politics2J
PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitNein 68.3%
Marktqualitat
49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
0 €
Liquidität
2106,5 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
30.0% / 33.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 27 Minuten
17. Feb. 26, 22:447. Nov. 28, 0:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Yes32%
Plattformen vergleichen· No
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketDiese SeiteBeste insgesamt | Niedrig | 69% | — | 0 € | 2106,5 € | vor 27 Minuten | |
 Manifold Markets95% Übereinstimmung · auto | — | 66% | — | — | — | vor 30 Tagen | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets
Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?
2J
66.2%
33.8%
Community-Prognose8 PrognostikerTyp: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
- Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$15. Juli10T Daten16. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
926.448,8 €Robert F. Kennedy Jr.: 49%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Florida Republican Governor nominee?
671.160,5 €James Fishback: 3%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Presidential Election Winner 2028
470.913,5 €JD Vance: 20%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
407.749,1 €Gavin Newsom: 19%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Ohio Governor winner?
347.322,5 €Vivek Ramaswamy: 51%KALSHI
KALSHI
Florida Republican Governor primary: James Fishback vote percent
203.940,8 €At least 1%: 97%KALSHI
KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
Verwandte Nachrichten
Polymarket odds swing: Eizenkot hits 51% as Israel campaign kicks offBlockchain.News
Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as pricing trend softensBlockchain.News
White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk
Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News
White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph
Polymarket odds show Vance at 19.85% as Epstein files critique hits tapeBlockchain.NewsRegeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
- Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.