MyriadEingeschränkte verifizierte DatenWarnung zur DatenqualitätNicht aussagekräftig bepreist
Daten vom 07.08.2026, 15:50 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-3
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
JD Vance 54.4%Führend unter 32 Optionen
Marktqualitat
30 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
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Liquidität
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Liquidität unbekanntTraders
4,800
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Minuten
24. Feb. 26, 14:331. Jan. 00, 0:01
Trends
Regeln
### **Market Dates:**
- - **Market Period:** From the publication date until the nomination is officially determined. - **Market Close:** This market remains open until a resolution is achieved. - **Resolution Deadline:** The market will resolve as soon as an outcome is reached.
- ### **Resolution Criteria:**
- - This market resolves to the **individual candidate who officially wins and accepts the 2028 Republican Party nomination for President of the United States**. - If candidate not represented by their own bracket wins, the market resolves to “Other.” - Confirmation will rely on the Republican Party’s **official communications**, as well as reporting from: - **Associated Press** - **Reuters** - **Fox News**
- ### **Resolution Details:**
- - Once the Republican National Committee (RNC) or the candidate formally announces and accepts the nomination, the market resolves immediately. - If a candidate later withdraws, is replaced, or is removed before Election Day, this does not impact the already resolved outcome. - Superdelegate counts, internal party projections, or unofficial announcements are insufficient unless they are formally confirmed by the party or supported by the resolution sources.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
CoinRithm-Referenz J.D. Vance 44% · 4 Plattformen · 3 Pkt. Venue-Spanne
- Auch verfügbar auf Limitless — Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 · Marco Rubio 50%
- Auch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets — Who will be the Republican nominee for president in 2028? · JD Vance 43%
- Auch verfügbar auf PredictIt — Who will win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · JD Vance 44%
- Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket — Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 · J.D. Vance 47%
- Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi — 2028 Republican presidential nominee · J.D. Vance 44%
- Auch verfügbar auf Smarkets — Republican Presidential Nominee · JD Vance 42%
- Auch verfügbar auf Robinhood (Rothera) — 2028 Republican Presidential Nominee · JVAN 36%
- Auch verfügbar auf Gemini — 2028 Republican Nominee for President? · J.D. Vance 43%
Offene Märkte
Politics
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18.8%
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt16.8%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt12.9%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 165,5 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 2 Mio. €
KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?
- Darline Graham-1.0pt58.7%
- Ralph Norman33%
- Pamela Evette0.9%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 14 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 947.716,1 €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+3.0pt76%
- October 31+7.5pt60%
- September 30+5.0pt41%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva61.8%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+0.8pt34.3%
- Renan Santos-0.6pt2.9%
+15 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party85.9%
- Republican Party-1.0pt14.1%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 21,1 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 468.343,1 €
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- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Ohio Governor winner?
- Oklahoma Republican Governor nominee?
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- Florida Republican Governor primary: James Fishback vote percent
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Republican Presidential Nominee 2028?
- Myriad bewertet JD Vance mit 54% (Stand: 25. August 2026).
- Wann wird Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 entschieden?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 soll am 1. Januar 2100 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 abgerechnet?
- Myriad rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: ### **Market Dates:**
- Wo wird Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Limitless, Manifold Markets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi, Smarkets, Robinhood (Rothera), Gemini gelistet.