MyriadAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
JD Vance 67.4%-0.1%Führend unter 32 Optionen
Marktqualitat
28 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
0 €
Liquidität
0 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
-
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Minuten
24. Feb. 26, 14:331. Jan. 00, 0:01
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
JD Vance67%
Plattformen vergleichen· J.D. Vance
Sortiert nach 24h-Volumen| Plattform | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketAktivste | 40% | 0pt | 1,3 Mio. € | 41,4 Mio. € | vor 13 Minuten | Öffnen → |
 Kalshi | 41% | +1pt | 96.221,1 € | 31 Mio. € | vor 8 Minuten | Öffnen → |
 Manifold Markets | 40% | +0pt | — | — | vor 7 Tagen | Öffnen → |
| Manifold Markets | 39% | -1pt | — | — | vor 9 Tagen | Öffnen → |
| Manifold Markets | 40% | 0pt | — | — | vor 9 Tagen | Öffnen → |
| MyriadDiese Seite | 67% | +27pt | 0 € | 0 € | vor 6 Minuten | |
 PredictIt | 37% | -3pt | — | — | vor 6 Minuten | Öffnen → |
 Limitless | 24% | -16pt | 0 € | 0 € | vor 6 Minuten | Öffnen → |
 Smarkets | 38% | -2pt | 0 € | 0 € | vor 6 Minuten | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
2J
49%
+0.1%40%
-0.3%25%
+125 weitere Ergebnisse
73 • Mittlere QualitätBreiter SpreadHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen587,7 Mio. €
24h-Volumen1,3 Mio. €
POLYMARKETAuch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets
Who will be the Republican nominee for president in 2028?
2J
2.8%
2%
0.1%
+35 weitere Ergebnisse
Community-Prognose799 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice
Gesamtvolumen953.263,6 €
24h-Volumen2066,9 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSAuch verfügbar auf PredictIt
Who will win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
37%
29%
5%
+11 weitere Ergebnisse
Retail prediction exchange
Gesamtvolumen0 €
24h-Volumen0 €
PREDICTITAuch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets
Who will be the Republican nominee for President in 2028?
2J
1.8%
3%
0.5%
+22 weitere Ergebnisse
Community-Prognose62 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice
Gesamtvolumen21.510 €
24h-Volumen102,7 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSAuch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
2J
39.4%
27.8%
3.5%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
Community-Prognose19 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice
Gesamtvolumen6088,4 €
24h-Volumen109,6 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSAuch verfügbar auf Limitless
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
2J
23.5%
50%
2.9%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
28 • Niedrige QualitätSpread unbekanntNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt
Gesamtvolumen13.340,9 €
24h-Volumen0 €
LIMITLESSAuch verfügbar auf Kalshi
2028 Republican presidential nominee
0.2%2J
+0.2%1%
3%
-1.0%29%
+35 weitere Ergebnisse
73 • Mittlere QualitätBreiter SpreadHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen44,4 Mio. €
24h-Volumen96.221,1 €
KALSHIAuch verfügbar auf Smarkets
Republican Presidential Nominee
0.2%
3.3%
0.1%
+24 weitere Ergebnisse
28 • Niedrige QualitätSpread unbekanntNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt
Gesamtvolumen3705,5 €
24h-Volumen0 €
SMARKETSRegeln
### **Market Dates:**
- - **Market Period:** From the publication date until the nomination is officially determined. - **Market Close:** This market remains open until a resolution is achieved. - **Resolution Deadline:** The market will resolve as soon as an outcome is reached.
- ### **Resolution Criteria:**
- - This market resolves to the **individual candidate who officially wins and accepts the 2028 Republican Party nomination for President of the United States**. - If candidate not represented by their own bracket wins, the market resolves to “Other.” - Confirmation will rely on the Republican Party’s **official communications**, as well as reporting from: - **Associated Press** - **Reuters** - **Fox News**
- ### **Resolution Details:**
- - Once the Republican National Committee (RNC) or the candidate formally announces and accepts the nomination, the market resolves immediately. - If a candidate later withdraws, is replaced, or is removed before Election Day, this does not impact the already resolved outcome. - Superdelegate counts, internal party projections, or unofficial announcements are insufficient unless they are formally confirmed by the party or supported by the resolution sources.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Verwandte Märkte
Presidential Election Winner 2028
3,2 Mio. €JD Vance: 20%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Graham Platner drop out?
2,1 Mio. €Before Jul 14, 2026: 92%KALSHI
KALSHI
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1 Mio. €Gavin Newsom: 19%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
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355.129,6 €November 2: 98%POLYMARKET
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### **Market Dates:**
- - **Market Period:** From the publication date until the nomination is officially determined. - **Market Close:** This market remains open until a resolution is achieved. - **Resolution Deadline:** The market will resolve as soon as an outcome is reached.
- ### **Resolution Criteria:**
- - This market resolves to the **individual candidate who officially wins and accepts the 2028 Republican Party nomination for President of the United States**. - If candidate not represented by their own bracket wins, the market resolves to “Other.” - Confirmation will rely on the Republican Party’s **official communications**, as well as reporting from: - **Associated Press** - **Reuters** - **Fox News**
- ### **Resolution Details:**
- - Once the Republican National Committee (RNC) or the candidate formally announces and accepts the nomination, the market resolves immediately. - If a candidate later withdraws, is replaced, or is removed before Election Day, this does not impact the already resolved outcome. - Superdelegate counts, internal party projections, or unofficial announcements are insufficient unless they are formally confirmed by the party or supported by the resolution sources.