Which party will hold the most seats in the US House of Representatives after the 2026 elections?
PolitikOne-OffUS-PolitikWahlUS-Zwischenwahlen 20267T
MetaculusNicht verifizierte AuflösungsdatenAktuelle Community-PrognoseOption 1 84.9%Führend unter 3 Optionen
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27. Apr. 26, 15:18 UTC5. Nov. 26, 00:00 UTC
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Will the Republicans win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?
Manifold MarketsWill the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?
Manifold MarketsControl of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections
FutuurWhich party will hold more governorships after the midterms?
PolymarketWhich party will hold the majority in the House of Representatives in January 2027 in the 120th Congress.
Manifold Markets2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
KalshiRegeln
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled for Tuesday, November 3.
- The US House of Representatives has 435 seats. [As of early 2025](https://ballotpedia.org/119th_United_States_Congress), 218 are held by members of the Republican Party, 215 are held by Democrats, and 2 are vacant.
- Representatives are elected for 2-year terms, and elections are held every two years; so all of the seats are up for contest in every election.
- The winners of the 2026 House elections will join the Senate to form the 120th Congress.
- This question will resolve as the party that holds more House of Representatives seats than any other party in the 120th Congress, which is the one scheduled to be elected November 3, 2026 and take office in January 3, 2027.
- Independent representatives will be counted as part of the party they caucus with.